Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.315772 0.339493 0.364809 0.393955 0.426728 0.462608 0.505094
2025-02-09 0.266820 0.301254 0.340877 0.390426 0.451580 0.525761 0.624449
2025-02-16 0.231274 0.270306 0.317730 0.380869 0.464808 0.575852 0.740068
2025-02-23 0.209179 0.251219 0.304570 0.379392 0.485474 0.637349 0.886280
2025-03-02 0.190533 0.233592 0.290096 0.372673 0.496099 0.685202 1.025617
2025-03-09 0.175550 0.218834 0.277207 0.365503 0.503615 0.728453 1.170727
2025-03-16 0.163509 0.206716 0.266361 0.359331 0.510792 0.771613 1.331095
2025-03-23 0.157263 0.201888 0.265091 0.366975 0.540901 0.861152 1.627622
2025-03-30 0.148557 0.192793 0.256605 0.362016 0.548344 0.909637 1.855533
2025-04-06 0.138375 0.180840 0.242826 0.346878 0.535129 0.913301 1.969171
2025-04-13 0.129296 0.169950 0.229879 0.331835 0.519956 0.909577 2.061815
2025-04-20 0.125268 0.166268 0.227727 0.334720 0.539037 0.985985 2.458910
2025-04-27 0.123531 0.166127 0.231441 0.348818 0.584112 1.141902 3.327291
2025-05-04 0.119067 0.161624 0.227945 0.349919 0.603454 1.243296 4.150569
2025-05-11 0.113479 0.155064 0.220628 0.343251 0.605050 1.298044 4.857217
2025-05-18 0.109456 0.150728 0.216687 0.342520 0.619969 1.399221 6.122478
2025-05-25 0.104929 0.145335 0.210577 0.336942 0.622617 1.463958 7.362161
2025-06-01 0.100678 0.140166 0.204510 0.330839 0.623000 1.522431 8.835266
2025-06-08 0.096884 0.135550 0.199108 0.325543 0.624543 1.587009 10.802818
2025-06-15 0.095233 0.134327 0.199533 0.332142 0.657925 1.792868 16.989350
2025-06-22 0.092062 0.130442 0.194980 0.327871 0.661566 1.880074 22.538626
2025-06-29 0.087808 0.124592 0.186604 0.314800 0.638962 1.840937 24.014210
2025-07-06 0.083789 0.119007 0.178482 0.301770 0.615036 1.789104 24.821258